ISSN: 1949-1964
Released August 13, 2015, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of
Agriculture (USDA).
Eggs in Incubators on August 1 Down 3 Percent from Last Year
Turkey eggs in incubators on August 1, 2015, in the United States totaled
26.9 million, down 3 percent from August 1, 2014. Eggs in incubators were
down 2 percent from the July 1, 2015 total of 27.4 million eggs.
Poults Hatched During July Down 6 Percent from Last Year
Turkey poults hatched during July 2015, in the United States totaled
22.9 million, down 6 percent from July 2014. Poults hatched were down
1 percent from the June 2015 total of 23.1 million poults.
Net Poults Placed During July Down 7 Percent from Last Year
The 22.7 million net poults placed during July 2015 in the United States were
down 7 percent from the number placed during the same month a year earlier.
Net placements were down 2 percent from the June 2015 total of 23.0 million.
Eggs in Incubators and Poults Hatched by Month - United States: 2013-2015
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Eggs in incubators :Percent of: Poults hatched :Percent of
: first of month : previous : entire month : previous
Month :---------------------: year :---------------------: year
: : : : : :
:2013-2014 :2014-2015 : :2013-2014 :2014-2015 :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: --- 1,000 eggs -- percent 1,000 poults percent
:
September ........: 25,524 27,388 107 20,974 22,844 109
October ..........: 26,466 27,842 105 22,928 23,744 104
November .........: 26,379 28,004 106 21,308 21,936 103
December .........: 26,478 28,964 109 22,074 24,660 112
January ..........: 27,278 29,281 107 23,430 24,023 103
February .........: 26,909 27,144 101 21,486 21,721 101
March ............: 26,035 28,250 109 22,380 24,179 108
April ............: 27,195 28,799 106 22,800 23,261 102
May ..............: 29,017 26,845 93 24,189 22,161 92
June .............: 28,918 27,232 94 23,647 23,129 98
July .............: 28,627 27,357 96 24,405 22,898 94
August ...........: 27,759 26,941 97 23,500
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Net Poult Placements by Month - United States: 2013-2015
[Includes imports and excludes exports. Blank data cells indicate estimation period
has not yet begun]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Total all :Percent of: Cumulative :Percent of
: breeds : previous : total : previous
Month :---------------------: year :---------------------: year
: : : : : :
:2013-2014 :2014-2015 : :2013-2014 :2014-2015 :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 poults percent -- 1,000 poults -- percent
:
September ........: 19,624 21,169 108 19,624 21,169 108
October ..........: 20,908 21,695 104 40,532 42,864 106
November .........: 20,042 20,379 102 60,574 63,243 104
December .........: 21,138 22,516 107 81,712 85,759 105
January ..........: 22,096 22,383 101 103,808 108,142 104
February .........: 20,889 20,119 96 124,697 128,261 103
March ............: 21,557 21,885 102 146,254 150,146 103
April ............: 22,621 21,851 97 168,875 171,997 102
May ..............: 23,310 21,329 92 192,185 193,326 101
June .............: 23,452 23,014 98 215,637 216,340 100
July .............: 24,234 22,650 93 239,871 238,990 100
August ...........: 23,224 263,095
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Statistical Methodology
Survey Procedures: Data for turkey hatchery estimates are collected from all
known turkey hatcheries. Individual NASS field offices maintain a list of all
known turkey hatcheries and use known sources of hatcheries to update their
lists. Approximately 40 hatcheries are contacted each month. All known turkey
hatcheries hatching 15,000 or more poults annually are mailed a questionnaire
as close to the first of the month as possible. Adequate time is given to
respond via mail, fax, or electronic data reporting (EDR). Those that do not
respond are contacted by phone. Care is exercised to ensure that all
hatcheries are accounted for in the estimate.
Estimating Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive
the estimates from reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values.
Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and
to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations were estimated
based on similar operations or historical data. NASS field offices prepare
these estimates by using a combination of survey indications and historic
trends. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural
Statistics Board for reasonableness. Individual hatchery data are summed to
State, regional, and United States totals. Only United States level estimates
are published due to the limited number of hatcheries involved. The Net Poult
Placement data include imported poults and exclude exported poults.
Cumulative net poult placements beginning on September 1 and ending on August
31 are shown in the monthly Turkey Hatchery report. This time period
corresponds with the placements of poults which will reach maturity and be
available for slaughter during the calendar year.
States reporting turkey hatcheries are: Arkansas, California, Florida, Idaho,
Indiana, Iowa, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina,
New Mexico, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia, and
Wisconsin.
Revision Policy: Revisions are generally the result of late or corrected
data. Revisions to the previous month are published in the monthly Turkey
Hatchery report, while annual revisions are published in the Hatchery
Production - Annual Summary report in April.
Reliability: Turkey hatchery estimates are based on a census of all known
operating hatcheries and therefore, have no sampling error. However,
estimates are subject to errors such as omission, duplication, and mistakes
in reporting, recording, and processing the data. While the affects of these
errors cannot be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality
controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all
reported data for consistency and reasonableness.
To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the
"Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table.
The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past
performance and is computed using the differences between first and final
estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for turkey eggs in incubators on the
first day of the month over the past 24 months is 1.2 percent. This means
that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or
below the current estimate of 26.9 million eggs by more than 1.2 percent.
Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.1 percent.
Reliability of August Turkey Hatchery Estimates
[Based on data for the past 24 months]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate
:square error : confidence : : : : :
: : level :------------------------------------------------------
Item : : : : : : Months
: : : : : :---------------------------
: : :Average :Smallest:Largest :Below latest :Above latest
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent percent -------- 1,000 ------- ---- number ----
:
Eggs in incubators ................: 1.2 2.1 211 5 1,221 18 6
:
Poults hatched ....................: 0.5 0.8 85 0 211 11 12
:
Net poult placements ..............: 1.5 2.6 292 11 659 9 15
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics
Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected]
Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ........................................................ (202) 720-3570
Bruce Boess, Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section ................................. (202) 720-4447
Alissa Cowell-Mytar - Cold Storage ........................................................ (202) 720-4751
Heidi Gleich - Broiler Hatchery, Chicken Hatchery ......................................... (202) 720-0585
Michael Klamm - Poultry Slaughter ......................................................... (202) 720-3040
Tom Kruchten - Census of Aquaculture ...................................................... (202) 690-4870
Kim Linonis - Layers, Eggs ................................................................ (202) 690-8632
Sammy Neal - Catfish Production, Egg Products, Mink, Trout Production, Turkey Hatchery,
Turkeys Raised ......................................................................... (202) 720-3244
Joshua O'Rear - Honey ..................................................................... (202) 690-3676
Access to NASS Reports
For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following
ways:
All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web
site: http://www.nass.usda.gov
Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-
mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit
http://www.nass.usda.gov and in the "Follow NASS" box under "Receive
reports by Email," click on "National" or "State" to select the reports
you would like to receive.
For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural
Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail:
[email protected].
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against
its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race,
color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion,
reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial
or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's
income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic
information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded
by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs
and/or employment activities.)
If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination,
complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online
at http://www.ascr.usda.gov/complaint_filing_cust.html, or at any USDA
office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a
letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your
completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of
Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue,
S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax (202) 690-7442 or email at
[email protected].
