ISSN: 1949-1921 Released June 26, 2015, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Up 9 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2015 was 66.9 million head. This was up 9 percent from June 1, 2014, and up slightly from March 1, 2015. Breeding inventory, at 5.93 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, but down 1 percent from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 61.0 million head, was up 9 percent from last year, and up 1 percent from last quarter. The March-May 2015 pig crop, at 29.6 million head, was up 8 percent from 2014. Sows farrowed during this period totaled 2.85 million head, up 1 percent from 2014. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.37 for the March-May period, compared to 9.78 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 8.00 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.40 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. United States hog producers intend to have 2.91 million sows farrow during the June-August 2015 quarter, down 3 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2014, but up 1 percent from 2013. Intended farrowings for September-November 2015, at 2.87 million sows, are down 4 percent from 2014, but up 3 percent from 2013. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 46 percent of the total United States hog inventory, down from 48 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for June 2014 through March 2015 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The net revision made to the December 2014 all hogs and pigs inventory was 2.5 percent. A revision of 4.3 percent was made to the September-November 2014 pig crop. A revision of 1.1 percent was made to the March 2015 all hogs and pigs inventory. A revision of 0.7 percent was made to the December 2014-February 2015 pig crop. This report was approved on June 26, 2015. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Robert Johansson Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson James M. Harris Contents Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2014 and 2015................. 4 Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2013-2015................................... 5 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2014 and 2015........................................ 5 Quarterly Litter Rate - United States...................................................................... 6 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: March-May 2015....................................... 6 Quarterly Sows Farrowed - United States.................................................................... 7 Quarterly Pig Crop - United States......................................................................... 7 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015................... 8 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015........................ 8 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015.................... 9 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015......................... 9 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2013 and 2014............... 10 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2013 and 2014.................... 10 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014................ 11 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014..................... 11 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2014 and 2015.. 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2014 and 2015.......... 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2013-2015............ 13 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2013-2015..... 13 Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2014 and 2015..... 14 Statistical Methodology.................................................................................... 14 Reliability of June 1 Hog Estimates........................................................................ 15 Information Contacts....................................................................................... 15 Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2015 as Item : 2014 : 2015 : percent : : : of 2014 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 head ---- percent : March 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 61,494 66,634 108 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,851 5,982 102 Market .............................: 55,643 60,653 109 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 17,336 18,959 109 50-119 pounds ......................: 15,487 16,949 109 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,538 13,530 108 180 pounds and over ................: 10,281 11,215 109 : June 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 61,568 66,900 109 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,855 5,926 101 Market .............................: 55,713 60,975 109 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 18,254 19,455 107 50-119 pounds ......................: 15,801 17,181 109 120-179 pounds .....................: 11,491 12,810 111 180 pounds and over ................: 10,166 11,529 113 : September 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 65,979 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,920 Market .............................: 60,059 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 20,390 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,458 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,112 180 pounds and over ................: 10,098 : December 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 67,726 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,939 Market .............................: 61,788 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,801 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,366 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,980 180 pounds and over ................: 11,641 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2013-2015 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2015 as percent of Item : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 :------------------- : : : : 2013 : 2014 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- 1,000 head --------- -- percent -- Sows farrowing : December-February ....: 2,788 2,763 2,831 102 102 March-May ............: 2,806 2,810 2,850 102 101 December-May 1/ ......: 5,595 5,573 5,681 102 102 : June-August 2/ .......: 2,890 2,991 2,915 101 97 September-November 2/ : 2,780 2,994 2,865 103 96 June-November 1/ 2/ ..: 5,670 5,985 5,780 102 97 : Pig crop : December-February ....: 28,099 26,326 28,966 103 110 March-May ............: 28,921 27,495 29,563 102 108 December-May 1/ ......: 57,020 53,821 58,529 103 109 : June-August ..........: 29,862 30,402 September-November ...: 28,253 30,633 June-November 1/ .....: 58,115 61,035 : : ----------- number ---------- -- percent -- : Pigs per litter : December-February ....: 10.08 9.53 10.23 101 107 March-May ............: 10.31 9.78 10.37 101 106 December-May .........: 10.19 9.66 10.30 101 107 : June-August ..........: 10.33 10.16 September-November ...: 10.16 10.23 June-November ........: 10.25 10.20 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding 2/ Intentions for 2015. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per litter on operations having 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : head : head : head : head : head : head ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number : 2014 : December-February ...: 7.70 8.30 8.50 8.90 9.50 9.60 March-May ...........: 7.80 8.50 8.80 9.20 9.70 9.80 June-August .........: 8.00 8.70 9.10 9.50 10.00 10.20 September-November ..: 8.10 8.80 9.20 9.60 10.10 10.30 : 2015 : December-February ...: 7.90 8.60 9.00 9.40 10.00 10.30 March-May ...........: 8.00 8.70 9.10 9.50 10.10 10.40 June-August .........: September-November ..: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as State : 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent : : :of 2014: : :of 2014: : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 160 140 88 520 570 110 680 710 104 Illinois ........: 500 490 98 3,750 4,210 112 4,250 4,700 111 Indiana .........: 270 280 104 3,080 3,420 111 3,350 3,700 110 Iowa ............: 1,010 1,030 102 18,490 19,570 106 19,500 20,600 106 Kansas ..........: 170 175 103 1,460 1,665 114 1,630 1,840 113 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 890 1,010 113 1,000 1,120 112 Minnesota .......: 550 570 104 6,950 7,330 105 7,500 7,900 105 Missouri ........: 355 400 113 1,995 2,450 123 2,350 2,850 121 Nebraska ........: 400 420 105 2,600 2,680 103 3,000 3,100 103 North Carolina ..: 870 890 102 6,930 7,610 110 7,800 8,500 109 : Ohio ............: 170 180 106 1,830 2,130 116 2,000 2,310 116 Oklahoma ........: 430 440 102 1,520 1,730 114 1,950 2,170 111 Pennsylvania ....: 95 100 105 1,015 1,020 100 1,110 1,120 101 South Dakota ....: 170 165 97 1,020 1,135 111 1,190 1,300 109 Texas ...........: 100 100 100 430 800 186 530 900 170 Utah ............: 75 75 100 635 585 92 710 660 93 : Other States 1/ .: 416 417 100 2,528 2,738 108 2,944 3,154 107 : United States ...: 5,851 5,982 102 55,643 60,653 109 61,494 66,634 108 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 270 280 95 100 75 90 80 100 Illinois ........: 1,070 1,290 1,100 1,250 810 890 770 780 Indiana .........: 890 950 880 960 620 710 690 800 Iowa ............: 4,570 4,930 5,780 6,360 4,850 4,890 3,290 3,390 Kansas ..........: 390 435 345 405 275 335 450 490 Michigan ........: 275 280 190 230 225 260 200 240 Minnesota .......: 2,490 2,530 2,000 2,020 1,480 1,550 980 1,230 Missouri ........: 920 1,220 385 485 320 380 370 365 Nebraska ........: 820 850 730 750 545 615 505 465 North Carolina ..: 2,630 2,740 1,650 1,810 1,540 1,640 1,110 1,420 : Ohio ............: 580 640 555 630 465 510 230 350 Oklahoma ........: 580 720 335 370 225 270 380 370 Pennsylvania ....: 250 255 345 330 190 240 230 195 South Dakota ....: 330 365 280 305 210 250 200 215 Texas ...........: 80 215 105 210 75 200 170 175 Utah ............: 290 255 130 105 110 120 105 105 : Other States 1/ .: 901 1,004 582 629 523 580 521 525 : United States ...: 17,336 18,959 15,487 16,949 12,538 13,530 10,281 11,215 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as State : 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent : : :of 2014: : :of 2014: : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 160 145 91 530 555 105 690 700 101 Illinois ........: 490 490 100 3,810 4,110 108 4,300 4,600 107 Indiana .........: 270 270 100 3,230 3,330 103 3,500 3,600 103 Iowa ............: 1,000 1,000 100 18,100 20,000 110 19,100 21,000 110 Kansas ..........: 170 180 106 1,470 1,670 114 1,640 1,850 113 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 880 990 113 990 1,100 111 Minnesota .......: 570 550 96 7,080 7,500 106 7,650 8,050 105 Missouri ........: 380 395 104 2,070 2,505 121 2,450 2,900 118 Nebraska ........: 390 410 105 2,610 2,790 107 3,000 3,200 107 North Carolina ..: 860 880 102 6,740 7,120 106 7,600 8,000 105 : Ohio ............: 165 185 112 1,805 2,185 121 1,970 2,370 120 Oklahoma ........: 430 440 102 1,460 1,790 123 1,890 2,230 118 Pennsylvania ....: 100 105 105 1,010 1,055 104 1,110 1,160 105 South Dakota ....: 175 170 97 1,035 1,150 111 1,210 1,320 109 Texas ...........: 100 105 105 570 765 134 670 870 130 Utah ............: 75 75 100 645 635 98 720 710 99 : Other States 1/ .: 410 416 102 2,668 2,825 106 3,078 3,240 105 : United States ...: 5,855 5,926 101 55,713 60,975 109 61,568 66,900 109 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 275 280 105 120 70 75 80 80 Illinois ........: 1,220 1,270 1,160 1,210 770 850 660 780 Indiana .........: 890 940 980 950 580 650 780 790 Iowa ............: 4,890 5,100 5,640 6,380 4,470 4,820 3,100 3,700 Kansas ..........: 410 430 360 495 260 325 440 420 Michigan ........: 270 275 210 255 200 230 200 230 Minnesota .......: 2,580 2,570 2,150 2,200 1,290 1,540 1,060 1,190 Missouri ........: 1,005 1,255 405 475 315 370 345 405 Nebraska ........: 840 860 770 765 510 615 490 550 North Carolina ..: 2,750 2,830 1,590 1,650 1,230 1,320 1,170 1,320 : Ohio ............: 530 640 570 650 440 525 265 370 Oklahoma ........: 620 740 350 380 180 270 310 400 Pennsylvania ....: 275 290 340 335 190 220 205 210 South Dakota ....: 345 405 265 320 205 215 220 210 Texas ...........: 130 240 145 195 140 125 155 205 Utah ............: 270 280 130 120 115 115 130 120 : Other States 1/ .: 954 1,050 631 681 526 545 556 549 : United States ...: 18,254 19,455 15,801 17,181 11,491 12,810 10,166 11,529 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2013 and 2014 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : :2014 as: : :2014 as: : :2014 as State : 2013 : 2014 :percent: 2013 : 2014 :percent: 2013 : 2014 :percent : : :of 2013: : :of 2013: : :of 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 145 155 107 555 555 100 700 710 101 Illinois ........: 500 510 102 4,100 4,140 101 4,600 4,650 101 Indiana .........: 270 280 104 3,430 3,320 97 3,700 3,600 97 Iowa ............: 1,000 1,030 103 19,900 19,770 99 20,900 20,800 100 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,650 1,660 101 1,820 1,830 101 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 940 920 98 1,050 1,030 98 Minnesota .......: 550 550 100 7,150 7,200 101 7,700 7,750 101 Missouri ........: 350 390 111 2,650 2,460 93 3,000 2,850 95 Nebraska ........: 400 390 98 2,650 2,710 102 3,050 3,100 102 North Carolina ..: 880 870 99 8,420 7,530 89 9,300 8,400 90 : Ohio ............: 165 170 103 1,925 1,910 99 2,090 2,080 100 Oklahoma ........: 420 430 102 1,790 1,620 91 2,210 2,050 93 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,040 1,060 102 1,140 1,160 102 South Dakota ....: 170 175 103 980 1,095 112 1,150 1,270 110 Texas ...........: 85 100 118 505 670 133 590 770 131 Utah ............: 80 75 94 660 645 98 740 720 97 : Other States 1/ .: 421 415 99 2,745 2,794 102 3,166 3,209 101 : United States ...: 5,816 5,920 102 61,090 60,059 98 66,906 65,979 99 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2013 and 2014 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 285 310 90 105 70 85 110 55 Illinois ........: 1,330 1,270 1,290 1,280 700 830 780 760 Indiana .........: 1,080 1,040 1,040 960 640 620 670 700 Iowa ............: 5,300 5,510 6,490 6,470 4,830 4,470 3,280 3,320 Kansas ..........: 485 485 360 500 270 315 535 360 Michigan ........: 295 290 230 225 190 205 225 200 Minnesota .......: 2,450 2,610 2,280 2,190 1,450 1,400 970 1,000 Missouri ........: 1,180 1,270 650 470 390 360 430 360 Nebraska ........: 850 940 810 800 570 505 420 465 North Carolina ..: 3,140 3,110 2,240 1,820 1,670 1,430 1,370 1,170 : Ohio ............: 620 560 610 600 430 460 265 290 Oklahoma ........: 790 720 345 390 175 220 480 290 Pennsylvania ....: 245 265 355 370 220 225 220 200 South Dakota ....: 355 380 285 305 185 200 155 210 Texas ...........: 125 210 115 190 110 140 155 130 Utah ............: 285 300 130 130 125 115 120 100 : Other States 1/ .: 1,009 1,120 638 653 559 532 540 488 : United States ...: 19,824 20,390 17,958 17,458 12,584 12,112 10,725 10,098 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 : 2014 as State : 2013 : :percent: 2013 : :percent: 2013 : : percent : : :of 2013: : :of 2013: : : of 2013 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 150 100 540 550 102 690 700 101 Illinois ........: 500 500 100 4,050 4,200 104 4,550 4,700 103 Indiana .........: 280 290 104 3,370 3,410 101 3,650 3,700 101 Iowa ............: 970 1,010 104 19,230 20,290 106 20,200 21,300 105 Kansas ..........: 170 180 106 1,580 1,660 105 1,750 1,840 105 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 950 1,050 111 1,060 1,160 109 Minnesota .......: 550 560 102 7,250 7,540 104 7,800 8,100 104 Missouri ........: 345 400 116 2,405 2,450 102 2,750 2,850 104 Nebraska ........: 390 400 103 2,660 2,800 105 3,050 3,200 105 North Carolina ..: 870 880 101 7,630 7,920 104 8,500 8,800 104 : Ohio ............: 170 170 100 2,030 2,050 101 2,200 2,220 101 Oklahoma ........: 420 440 105 1,560 1,670 107 1,980 2,110 107 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 980 1,030 105 1,080 1,130 105 South Dakota ....: 165 160 97 1,035 1,110 107 1,200 1,270 106 Texas ...........: 80 100 125 510 700 137 590 800 136 Utah ............: 75 75 100 625 535 86 700 610 87 : Other States 1/ .: 412 414 101 2,613 2,823 108 3,025 3,236 107 : United States ...: 5,757 5,939 103 59,018 61,788 105 64,775 67,726 105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 260 265 95 125 75 80 110 80 Illinois ........: 1,250 1,360 1,210 1,180 730 800 860 860 Indiana .........: 1,010 1,040 900 950 650 660 810 760 Iowa ............: 4,840 5,310 5,940 6,500 4,850 4,740 3,600 3,740 Kansas ..........: 420 445 345 415 310 340 505 460 Michigan ........: 305 310 210 245 200 250 235 245 Minnesota .......: 2,650 2,650 1,980 2,200 1,390 1,520 1,230 1,170 Missouri ........: 1,150 1,170 450 470 325 380 480 430 Nebraska ........: 830 950 750 840 560 535 520 475 North Carolina ..: 2,600 3,010 1,800 1,830 1,630 1,580 1,600 1,500 : Ohio ............: 640 590 600 600 440 520 350 340 Oklahoma ........: 560 660 380 420 265 280 355 310 Pennsylvania ....: 265 265 310 340 190 225 215 200 South Dakota ....: 355 380 280 285 185 220 215 225 Texas ...........: 90 175 105 170 130 150 185 205 Utah ............: 265 220 115 110 120 110 125 95 : Other States 1/ .: 899 1,001 610 686 526 590 577 546 : United States ...: 18,389 19,801 16,080 17,366 12,576 12,980 11,972 11,641 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 :2015 as : : : : 2015 :2015 as State : : : : : : : : : 2014 : :percent : : : 2014 : :percent : : :of 2014 : 2014 : 2015 : : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent --- number --- 1,000 head percent : Colorado ........: 71 69 97 8.80 9.80 625 676 108 Illinois ........: 245 240 98 10.00 10.20 2,450 2,448 100 Indiana .........: 120 135 113 9.20 10.10 1,104 1,364 124 Iowa ............: 480 500 104 9.90 10.70 4,752 5,350 113 Kansas ..........: 80 86 108 9.15 10.00 732 860 117 Michigan ........: 49 51 104 9.20 10.50 451 536 119 Minnesota .......: 275 275 100 10.50 11.00 2,888 3,025 105 Missouri ........: 180 195 108 9.10 9.80 1,638 1,911 117 Nebraska ........: 165 160 97 10.55 11.00 1,741 1,760 101 North Carolina ..: 435 440 101 8.40 9.50 3,654 4,180 114 : Ohio ............: 90 88 98 8.00 10.45 720 920 128 Oklahoma ........: 180 190 106 9.15 10.15 1,647 1,929 117 Pennsylvania ....: 44 45 102 10.40 10.20 458 459 100 South Dakota ....: 82 85 104 10.65 10.80 873 918 105 Texas ...........: 41 43 105 8.60 9.05 353 389 110 Utah ............: 40 35 88 10.00 8.70 400 305 76 : Other States 2/ .: 186 194 104 9.89 9.98 1,840 1,936 105 : United States ...: 2,763 2,831 102 9.53 10.23 26,326 28,966 110 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 : 2015 as : : : : 2015 : 2015 as State : : : : : : : : : 2014 : : percent : : : 2014 : : percent : : : of 2014 : 2014 : 2015 : : : of 2014 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 73 70 96 9.30 10.00 679 700 103 Illinois ........: 250 230 92 9.90 10.50 2,475 2,415 98 Indiana .........: 125 130 104 9.25 10.50 1,156 1,365 118 Iowa ............: 470 495 105 10.60 10.60 4,982 5,247 105 Kansas ..........: 82 83 101 9.25 9.95 759 826 109 Michigan ........: 52 50 96 8.90 10.70 463 535 116 Minnesota .......: 290 275 95 10.60 11.05 3,074 3,039 99 Missouri ........: 185 200 108 8.90 10.40 1,647 2,080 126 Nebraska ........: 170 170 100 10.50 11.20 1,785 1,904 107 North Carolina ..: 440 445 101 8.70 9.30 3,828 4,139 108 : Ohio ............: 80 88 110 9.50 10.60 760 933 123 Oklahoma ........: 185 195 105 9.60 10.35 1,776 2,018 114 Pennsylvania ....: 48 49 102 10.30 10.30 494 505 102 South Dakota ....: 90 86 96 10.70 10.95 963 942 98 Texas ...........: 43 50 116 9.40 9.50 404 475 118 Utah ............: 41 41 100 10.50 9.80 431 402 93 : Other States 2/ .: 186 193 104 9.78 10.56 1,819 2,038 112 : United States ...: 2,810 2,850 101 9.78 10.37 27,495 29,563 108 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2013-2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2015 2/ : 2015 as : : : : 2014 : 2014 as State : : : : : : : : : : 2013 : 2014 : : percent : : : 2013 : : percent : : : : of 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : : : of 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 head ------ percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 70 73 72 99 9.50 9.45 665 690 104 Illinois ........: 250 260 250 96 10.20 10.20 2,550 2,652 104 Indiana .........: 125 145 140 97 10.10 9.80 1,263 1,421 113 Iowa ............: 485 530 490 92 10.60 10.70 5,141 5,671 110 Kansas ..........: 81 85 85 100 10.05 9.90 814 842 103 Michigan ........: 50 51 50 98 10.10 10.10 505 515 102 Minnesota .......: 290 290 290 100 10.80 10.85 3,132 3,147 100 Missouri ........: 195 205 200 98 10.40 9.80 2,028 2,009 99 Nebraska ........: 165 175 175 100 10.85 10.90 1,790 1,908 107 North Carolina ..: 470 470 440 94 10.10 9.50 4,747 4,465 94 : Ohio ............: 90 86 91 106 10.40 10.00 936 860 92 Oklahoma ........: 190 200 195 98 10.30 9.70 1,957 1,940 99 Pennsylvania ....: 48 49 49 100 10.20 10.10 490 495 101 South Dakota ....: 86 89 87 98 10.90 10.65 937 948 101 Texas ...........: 42 44 53 120 8.30 9.90 349 436 125 Utah ............: 43 42 39 93 10.00 10.40 430 437 102 : Other States 3/ .: 210 197 209 106 10.14 9.97 2,128 1,966 92 : United States ...: 2,890 2,991 2,915 97 10.33 10.16 29,862 30,402 102 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2013-2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2015 2/ : 2015 as : : : : 2014 : 2014 as State : : : : : : : : : : 2013 : 2014 : : percent : : : 2013 : : percent : : : : of 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : : : of 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 head ------ percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 72 71 71 100 9.40 9.70 677 689 102 Illinois ........: 235 255 245 96 10.20 10.25 2,397 2,614 109 Indiana .........: 130 150 135 90 10.05 10.20 1,307 1,530 117 Iowa ............: 455 510 490 96 10.60 10.70 4,823 5,457 113 Kansas ..........: 80 87 85 98 9.25 10.30 740 896 121 Michigan ........: 49 53 48 91 10.15 10.20 497 541 109 Minnesota .......: 290 305 285 93 10.80 10.95 3,132 3,340 107 Missouri ........: 180 210 200 95 10.30 9.50 1,854 1,995 108 Nebraska ........: 165 180 175 97 10.75 11.00 1,774 1,980 112 North Carolina ..: 445 460 440 96 9.50 10.00 4,228 4,600 109 : Ohio ............: 85 92 87 95 10.40 10.35 884 952 108 Oklahoma ........: 185 195 190 97 9.95 10.20 1,841 1,989 108 Pennsylvania ....: 47 48 48 100 10.30 10.30 484 494 102 South Dakota ....: 82 86 86 100 10.75 10.85 882 933 106 Texas ...........: 38 50 48 96 8.55 8.40 325 420 129 Utah ............: 40 39 38 97 10.10 6.70 404 261 65 : Other States 3/ .: 202 203 194 96 9.90 9.59 2,004 1,942 97 : United States ...: 2,780 2,994 2,865 96 10.16 10.23 28,253 30,633 108 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing 1/ : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 head -- ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- : December .......: 921 940 9.60 10.32 8,846 9,696 January ........: 924 952 9.47 10.16 8,753 9,668 February .......: 918 940 9.51 10.22 8,727 9,602 March ..........: 953 965 9.59 10.38 9,139 10,021 April ..........: 922 943 9.78 10.40 9,025 9,807 May ............: 935 942 9.98 10.33 9,331 9,735 June ...........: 999 10.08 10,078 July ...........: 992 10.20 10,122 August .........: 1,000 10.20 10,202 September ......: 1,024 10.20 10,451 October ........: 994 10.26 10,203 November .......: 975 10.24 9,979 : Total ..........: 11,558 9.94 114,856 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 8,100 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of June 2015, data were collected from about 5,850 operations, 72 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face- to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of June 1, 2015. Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 66.9 million head by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.3 percent. Reliability of June 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate : square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------------- Item : : : : : : Years : : : : : :------------------------------- : : : Average :Smallest : Largest : Below latest : Above latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent --------- 1,000 -------- ----- number ----- : All hogs and pigs ............: 1.3 2.3 721 95 1,676 11 9 : Pig crop .....................: 2.2 3.8 516 103 1,260 12 8 : Expected farrowings : : Next quarter ...............: 2.7 4.6 63 0 167 10 10 : Following quarter ..........: 3.0 5.1 73 18 197 9 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected]. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ........... (202) 720-3570 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........... (202) 690-2424 Travis Averill - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ...... (202) 720-3040 Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter ...... (202) 720-3240 Doug Bounds - Hogs and Pigs .................. (202) 720-3106 Donnie Fike - Dairy Products ................. (202) 690-3236 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows .. (202) 720-3278 Vacant - Sheep and Goats ..................... (202) 720-3570 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. 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