ISSN: 1949-1921 Released March 27, 2015, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Up 7 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2015 was 65.9 million head. This was up 7 percent from March 1, 2014, but down slightly from December 1, 2014. Breeding inventory, at 5.98 million head, was up 2 percent from last year, and up 1 percent from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 60.0 million head, was up 8 percent from last year, but down slightly from last quarter. The December 2014-February 2015 pig crop, at 28.8 million head, was up 9 percent from 2014. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.83 million head, up 2 percent from 2014. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.17 for the December-February period, compared to 9.53 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.90 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. United States hog producers intend to have 2.87 million sows farrow during the March-May 2015 quarter, up 2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2014, and up 2 percent from 2013. Intended farrowings for June-August 2015, at 2.93 million sows, are down 2 percent from 2014, but up 1 percent from 2013. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 46 percent of the total United States hog inventory, down from 48 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2014 through December 2014 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. An upward revision of 0.1 percent was made to the December 2014 all hogs and pigs inventory. The net revision to the September 2014 all hogs and pigs inventory was 0.9 percent. A net revision of 2.9 percent was made to the June-August 2014 pig crop. This report was approved on March 27, 2015. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Karis T. Gutter Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson James M. Harris Contents Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2014 and 2015................. 4 Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2013-2015................................... 5 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2014 and 2015........................................ 5 Quarterly Litter Rate - United States...................................................................... 6 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: December 2014-February 2015.......................... 6 Quarterly Sows Farrowed - United States.................................................................... 7 Quarterly Pig Crop - United States......................................................................... 7 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015................... 8 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015........................ 8 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2013 and 2014.................... 9 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2013 and 2014......................... 9 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2013 and 2014............... 10 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2013 and 2014.................... 10 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014................ 11 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014..................... 11 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2014 and 2015.. 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2013-2015.............. 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2013-2015............ 13 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2013 and 2014........................................................................... 13 Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2014 and 2015..... 14 Statistical Methodology.................................................................................... 14 Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates....................................................................... 15 Information Contacts....................................................................................... 15 Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2015 as Item : 2014 : 2015 : percent : : : of 2014 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 head ---- percent : March 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 61,494 65,934 107 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,851 5,982 102 Market .............................: 55,643 59,953 108 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 17,336 18,959 109 50-119 pounds ......................: 15,487 16,509 107 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,538 13,290 106 180 pounds and over ................: 10,281 11,195 109 : June 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 61,568 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,855 Market .............................: 55,713 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 18,254 50-119 pounds ......................: 15,801 120-179 pounds .....................: 11,491 180 pounds and over ................: 10,166 : September 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 65,979 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,920 Market .............................: 60,059 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 20,390 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,458 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,112 180 pounds and over ................: 10,098 : December 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 66,145 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,939 Market .............................: 60,207 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,026 50-119 pounds ......................: 16,630 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,930 180 pounds and over ................: 11,621 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2013-2015 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2015 as percent of Item : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 :------------------- : : : : 2013 : 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 head ------------ -- percent -- Sows farrowing : December-February ....: 2,788 2,763 2,829 101 102 March-May 1/ .........: 2,806 2,810 2,870 102 102 December-May 2/ 3/ ...: 5,595 5,573 5,699 102 102 : June-August 1/ .......: 2,890 2,991 2,927 101 98 September-November ...: 2,780 2,871 June-November 3/ .....: 5,670 5,862 : Pig crop : December-February ....: 28,099 26,326 28,758 102 109 March-May ............: 28,921 27,495 December-May 3/ ......: 57,020 53,821 : June-August ..........: 29,862 30,402 September-November ...: 28,253 29,373 June-November 3/ .....: 58,115 59,775 : : -------------- number ------------- -- percent -- : Pigs per litter : December-February ....: 10.08 9.53 10.17 101 107 March-May ............: 10.31 9.78 December-May .........: 10.19 9.66 : June-August ..........: 10.33 10.16 September-November ...: 10.16 10.23 June-November ........: 10.25 10.20 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intentions for 2015. 2/ Actual farrowings for December 2014-February 2015 plus intentions for March-May 2015. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per litter on operations having 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : head : head : head : head : head : head ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number : 2014 : December-February ...: 7.70 8.30 8.50 8.90 9.50 9.60 March-May ...........: 7.80 8.50 8.80 9.20 9.70 9.80 June-August .........: 8.00 8.70 9.10 9.50 10.00 10.20 September-November ..: 8.10 8.80 9.20 9.60 10.10 10.30 : 2015 : December-February ...: 7.90 8.60 9.00 9.40 10.00 10.20 March-May ...........: June-August .........: September-November ..: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as State : 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent : : :of 2014: : :of 2014: : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 160 140 88 520 570 110 680 710 104 Illinois ........: 500 490 98 3,750 4,160 111 4,250 4,650 109 Indiana .........: 270 280 104 3,080 3,370 109 3,350 3,650 109 Iowa ............: 1,010 1,030 102 18,490 19,370 105 19,500 20,400 105 Kansas ..........: 170 175 103 1,460 1,655 113 1,630 1,830 112 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 890 990 111 1,000 1,100 110 Minnesota .......: 550 570 104 6,950 7,280 105 7,500 7,850 105 Missouri ........: 355 400 113 1,995 2,400 120 2,350 2,800 119 Nebraska ........: 400 420 105 2,600 2,630 101 3,000 3,050 102 North Carolina ..: 870 890 102 6,930 7,510 108 7,800 8,400 108 : Ohio ............: 170 180 106 1,830 2,090 114 2,000 2,270 114 Oklahoma ........: 430 440 102 1,520 1,710 113 1,950 2,150 110 Pennsylvania ....: 95 100 105 1,015 1,010 100 1,110 1,110 100 South Dakota ....: 170 165 97 1,020 1,115 109 1,190 1,280 108 Texas ...........: 100 100 100 430 780 181 530 880 166 Utah ............: 75 75 100 635 585 92 710 660 93 : Other States 1/ .: 416 417 100 2,528 2,728 108 2,944 3,144 107 : United States ...: 5,851 5,982 102 55,643 59,953 108 61,494 65,934 107 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 270 280 95 100 75 90 80 100 Illinois ........: 1,070 1,290 1,100 1,200 810 890 770 780 Indiana .........: 890 950 880 910 620 710 690 800 Iowa ............: 4,570 4,930 5,780 6,260 4,850 4,810 3,290 3,370 Kansas ..........: 390 435 345 405 275 325 450 490 Michigan ........: 275 280 190 210 225 260 200 240 Minnesota .......: 2,490 2,530 2,000 2,020 1,480 1,500 980 1,230 Missouri ........: 920 1,220 385 435 320 380 370 365 Nebraska ........: 820 850 730 750 545 565 505 465 North Carolina ..: 2,630 2,740 1,650 1,710 1,540 1,640 1,110 1,420 : Ohio ............: 580 640 555 600 465 500 230 350 Oklahoma ........: 580 720 335 370 225 250 380 370 Pennsylvania ....: 250 255 345 320 190 240 230 195 South Dakota ....: 330 365 280 285 210 250 200 215 Texas ...........: 80 215 105 200 75 190 170 175 Utah ............: 290 255 130 105 110 120 105 105 : Other States 1/ .: 901 1,004 582 629 523 570 521 525 : United States ...: 17,336 18,959 15,487 16,509 12,538 13,290 10,281 11,195 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2013 and 2014 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 :2014 as State : 2013 : :percent: 2013 : :percent: 2013 : :percent : : :of 2013: : :of 2013: : :of 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 145 160 110 565 530 94 710 690 97 Illinois ........: 500 490 98 4,150 3,810 92 4,650 4,300 92 Indiana .........: 270 270 100 3,230 3,230 100 3,500 3,500 100 Iowa ............: 1,030 1,000 97 18,970 18,100 95 20,000 19,100 96 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,690 1,470 87 1,860 1,640 88 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 890 880 99 1,000 990 99 Minnesota .......: 580 570 98 7,220 7,080 98 7,800 7,650 98 Missouri ........: 350 380 109 2,300 2,070 90 2,650 2,450 92 Nebraska ........: 400 390 98 2,650 2,610 98 3,050 3,000 98 North Carolina ..: 870 860 99 8,030 6,740 84 8,900 7,600 85 : Ohio ............: 160 165 103 1,970 1,805 92 2,130 1,970 92 Oklahoma ........: 410 430 105 1,830 1,460 80 2,240 1,890 84 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,020 1,010 99 1,120 1,110 99 South Dakota ....: 180 175 97 960 1,035 108 1,140 1,210 106 Texas ...........: 100 100 100 520 570 110 620 670 108 Utah ............: 75 75 100 655 645 98 730 720 99 : Other States 1/ .: 434 410 94 2,654 2,668 101 3,088 3,078 100 : United States ...: 5,884 5,855 100 59,304 55,713 94 65,188 61,568 94 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2013 and 2014 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 285 275 85 105 80 70 115 80 Illinois ........: 1,330 1,220 1,330 1,160 740 770 750 660 Indiana .........: 1,010 890 990 980 630 580 600 780 Iowa ............: 4,890 4,890 6,090 5,640 4,700 4,470 3,290 3,100 Kansas ..........: 480 410 385 360 260 260 565 440 Michigan ........: 280 270 220 210 180 200 210 200 Minnesota .......: 2,540 2,580 2,300 2,150 1,410 1,290 970 1,060 Missouri ........: 1,030 1,005 480 405 390 315 400 345 Nebraska ........: 850 840 760 770 610 510 430 490 North Carolina ..: 3,060 2,750 2,020 1,590 1,600 1,230 1,350 1,170 : Ohio ............: 625 530 585 570 480 440 280 265 Oklahoma ........: 800 620 350 350 210 180 470 310 Pennsylvania ....: 260 275 335 340 205 190 220 205 South Dakota ....: 335 345 270 265 180 205 175 220 Texas ...........: 95 130 125 145 100 140 200 155 Utah ............: 280 270 125 130 125 115 125 130 : Other States 1/ .: 995 954 618 631 514 526 528 556 : United States ...: 19,145 18,254 17,068 15,801 12,414 11,491 10,678 10,166 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2013 and 2014 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : :2014 as: : :2014 as: : :2014 as State : 2013 : 2014 :percent: 2013 : 2014 :percent: 2013 : 2014 :percent : : :of 2013: : :of 2013: : :of 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 145 155 107 555 555 100 700 710 101 Illinois ........: 500 510 102 4,100 4,140 101 4,600 4,650 101 Indiana .........: 270 280 104 3,430 3,320 97 3,700 3,600 97 Iowa ............: 1,000 1,030 103 19,900 19,770 99 20,900 20,800 100 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,650 1,660 101 1,820 1,830 101 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 940 920 98 1,050 1,030 98 Minnesota .......: 550 550 100 7,150 7,200 101 7,700 7,750 101 Missouri ........: 350 390 111 2,650 2,460 93 3,000 2,850 95 Nebraska ........: 400 390 98 2,650 2,710 102 3,050 3,100 102 North Carolina ..: 880 870 99 8,420 7,530 89 9,300 8,400 90 : Ohio ............: 165 170 103 1,925 1,910 99 2,090 2,080 100 Oklahoma ........: 420 430 102 1,790 1,620 91 2,210 2,050 93 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,040 1,060 102 1,140 1,160 102 South Dakota ....: 170 175 103 980 1,095 112 1,150 1,270 110 Texas ...........: 85 100 118 505 670 133 590 770 131 Utah ............: 80 75 94 660 645 98 740 720 97 : Other States 1/ .: 421 415 99 2,745 2,794 102 3,166 3,209 101 : United States ...: 5,816 5,920 102 61,090 60,059 98 66,906 65,979 99 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2013 and 2014 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 285 310 90 105 70 85 110 55 Illinois ........: 1,330 1,270 1,290 1,280 700 830 780 760 Indiana .........: 1,080 1,040 1,040 960 640 620 670 700 Iowa ............: 5,300 5,510 6,490 6,470 4,830 4,470 3,280 3,320 Kansas ..........: 485 485 360 500 270 315 535 360 Michigan ........: 295 290 230 225 190 205 225 200 Minnesota .......: 2,450 2,610 2,280 2,190 1,450 1,400 970 1,000 Missouri ........: 1,180 1,270 650 470 390 360 430 360 Nebraska ........: 850 940 810 800 570 505 420 465 North Carolina ..: 3,140 3,110 2,240 1,820 1,670 1,430 1,370 1,170 : Ohio ............: 620 560 610 600 430 460 265 290 Oklahoma ........: 790 720 345 390 175 220 480 290 Pennsylvania ....: 245 265 355 370 220 225 220 200 South Dakota ....: 355 380 285 305 185 200 155 210 Texas ...........: 125 210 115 190 110 140 155 130 Utah ............: 285 300 130 130 125 115 120 100 : Other States 1/ .: 1,009 1,120 638 653 559 532 540 488 : United States ...: 19,824 20,390 17,958 17,458 12,584 12,112 10,725 10,098 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 : 2014 as State : 2013 : :percent: 2013 : :percent: 2013 : : percent : : :of 2013: : :of 2013: : : of 2013 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 150 100 540 540 100 690 690 100 Illinois ........: 500 500 100 4,050 4,100 101 4,550 4,600 101 Indiana .........: 280 290 104 3,370 3,310 98 3,650 3,600 99 Iowa ............: 970 1,010 104 19,230 19,890 103 20,200 20,900 103 Kansas ..........: 170 180 106 1,580 1,630 103 1,750 1,810 103 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 950 1,010 106 1,060 1,120 106 Minnesota .......: 550 560 102 7,250 7,340 101 7,800 7,900 101 Missouri ........: 345 400 116 2,405 2,350 98 2,750 2,750 100 Nebraska ........: 390 400 103 2,660 2,700 102 3,050 3,100 102 North Carolina ..: 870 880 101 7,630 7,720 101 8,500 8,600 101 : Ohio ............: 170 170 100 2,030 1,990 98 2,200 2,160 98 Oklahoma ........: 420 440 105 1,560 1,630 104 1,980 2,070 105 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 980 1,000 102 1,080 1,100 102 South Dakota ....: 165 160 97 1,035 1,080 104 1,200 1,240 103 Texas ...........: 80 100 125 510 660 129 590 760 129 Utah ............: 75 75 100 625 515 82 700 590 84 : Other States 1/ .: 412 414 101 2,613 2,742 105 3,025 3,155 104 : United States ...: 5,757 5,939 103 59,018 60,207 102 64,775 66,145 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 260 265 95 115 75 80 110 80 Illinois ........: 1,250 1,310 1,210 1,140 730 800 860 850 Indiana .........: 1,010 990 900 900 650 660 810 760 Iowa ............: 4,840 5,110 5,940 6,300 4,850 4,740 3,600 3,740 Kansas ..........: 420 445 345 395 310 330 505 460 Michigan ........: 305 300 210 225 200 240 235 245 Minnesota .......: 2,650 2,560 1,980 2,100 1,390 1,510 1,230 1,170 Missouri ........: 1,150 1,100 450 440 325 380 480 430 Nebraska ........: 830 900 750 790 560 535 520 475 North Carolina ..: 2,600 2,910 1,800 1,730 1,630 1,580 1,600 1,500 : Ohio ............: 640 570 600 580 440 500 350 340 Oklahoma ........: 560 640 380 400 265 280 355 310 Pennsylvania ....: 265 255 310 320 190 225 215 200 South Dakota ....: 355 360 280 275 185 220 215 225 Texas ...........: 90 155 105 150 130 150 185 205 Utah ............: 265 210 115 100 120 110 125 95 : Other States 1/ .: 899 946 610 670 526 590 577 536 : United States ...: 18,389 19,026 16,080 16,630 12,576 12,930 11,972 11,621 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 :2015 as : : : : 2015 :2015 as State : : : : : : : : : 2014 : :percent : : : 2014 : :percent : : :of 2014 : 2014 : 2015 : : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent --- number --- 1,000 head percent : Colorado ........: 71 69 97 8.80 9.80 625 676 108 Illinois ........: 245 240 98 10.00 10.20 2,450 2,448 100 Indiana .........: 120 135 113 9.20 10.10 1,104 1,364 124 Iowa ............: 480 500 104 9.90 10.70 4,752 5,350 113 Kansas ..........: 80 86 108 9.15 10.00 732 860 117 Michigan ........: 49 51 104 9.20 10.50 451 536 119 Minnesota .......: 275 275 100 10.50 11.00 2,888 3,025 105 Missouri ........: 180 195 108 9.10 9.30 1,638 1,814 111 Nebraska ........: 165 160 97 10.55 11.00 1,741 1,760 101 North Carolina ..: 435 440 101 8.40 9.50 3,654 4,180 114 : Ohio ............: 90 88 98 8.00 10.45 720 920 128 Oklahoma ........: 180 190 106 9.15 10.10 1,647 1,919 117 Pennsylvania ....: 44 45 102 10.40 10.20 458 459 100 South Dakota ....: 82 85 104 10.65 10.80 873 918 105 Texas ...........: 41 41 100 8.60 8.80 353 361 102 Utah ............: 40 35 88 10.00 8.70 400 305 76 : Other States 2/ .: 186 194 104 9.89 9.60 1,840 1,863 101 : United States ...: 2,763 2,829 102 9.53 10.17 26,326 28,758 109 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2013-2015 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : : : State : : : : 2015 as : : : : : 2014 as : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 2/ : percent : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : percent : : : : of 2014 : : : : : of 2013 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- 1,000 head -------- percent ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- percent : Colorado ...........: 69 73 68 93 9.50 9.30 656 679 104 Illinois ...........: 250 250 245 98 10.30 9.90 2,575 2,475 96 Indiana ............: 125 125 135 108 9.85 9.25 1,231 1,156 94 Iowa ...............: 465 470 490 104 10.50 10.60 4,883 4,982 102 Kansas .............: 79 82 84 102 9.95 9.25 786 759 97 Michigan ...........: 50 52 52 100 10.20 8.90 510 463 91 Minnesota ..........: 290 290 285 98 10.70 10.60 3,103 3,074 99 Missouri ...........: 180 185 200 108 10.50 8.90 1,890 1,647 87 Nebraska ...........: 160 170 175 103 10.75 10.50 1,720 1,785 104 North Carolina .....: 460 440 430 98 10.05 8.70 4,623 3,828 83 : Ohio ...............: 80 80 90 113 10.30 9.50 824 760 92 Oklahoma ...........: 185 185 185 100 10.30 9.60 1,906 1,776 93 Pennsylvania .......: 44 48 49 102 10.20 10.30 449 494 110 South Dakota .......: 88 90 85 94 10.90 10.70 959 963 100 Texas ..............: 38 43 52 121 8.90 9.40 338 404 120 Utah ...............: 41 41 38 93 10.30 10.50 422 431 102 : Other States 3/ ....: 202 186 207 111 10.11 9.78 2,046 1,819 89 : United States ......: 2,806 2,810 2,870 102 10.31 9.78 28,921 27,495 95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2013-2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2015 2/ : 2015 as : : : : 2014 : 2014 as State : : : : : : : : : : 2013 : 2014 : : percent : : : 2013 : : percent : : : : of 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : : : of 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 head ------ percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 70 73 71 97 9.50 9.45 665 690 104 Illinois ........: 250 260 250 96 10.20 10.20 2,550 2,652 104 Indiana .........: 125 145 135 93 10.10 9.80 1,263 1,421 113 Iowa ............: 485 530 510 96 10.60 10.70 5,141 5,671 110 Kansas ..........: 81 85 86 101 10.05 9.90 814 842 103 Michigan ........: 50 51 51 100 10.10 10.10 505 515 102 Minnesota .......: 290 290 290 100 10.80 10.85 3,132 3,147 100 Missouri ........: 195 205 205 100 10.40 9.80 2,028 2,009 99 Nebraska ........: 165 175 180 103 10.85 10.90 1,790 1,908 107 North Carolina ..: 470 470 445 95 10.10 9.50 4,747 4,465 94 : Ohio ............: 90 86 90 105 10.40 10.00 936 860 92 Oklahoma ........: 190 200 192 96 10.30 9.70 1,957 1,940 99 Pennsylvania ....: 48 49 47 96 10.20 10.10 490 495 101 South Dakota ....: 86 89 85 96 10.90 10.65 937 948 101 Texas ...........: 42 44 49 111 8.30 9.90 349 436 125 Utah ............: 43 42 38 90 10.00 10.40 430 437 102 : Other States 3/ .: 210 197 203 103 10.14 9.97 2,128 1,966 92 : United States ...: 2,890 2,991 2,927 98 10.33 10.16 29,862 30,402 102 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2013 and 2014 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2014 as : : : : : 2014 as State : 2013 : 2014 : percent : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : percent : : : of 2013 : : : : : of 2013 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 head -- percent ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- percent : Colorado ...........: 72 70 97 9.40 9.70 677 679 100 Illinois ...........: 235 250 106 10.20 10.25 2,397 2,563 107 Indiana ............: 130 145 112 10.05 10.20 1,307 1,479 113 Iowa ...............: 455 485 107 10.60 10.70 4,823 5,190 108 Kansas .............: 80 85 106 9.25 10.30 740 876 118 Michigan ...........: 49 51 104 10.15 10.20 497 520 105 Minnesota ..........: 290 280 97 10.80 10.95 3,132 3,066 98 Missouri ...........: 180 195 108 10.30 9.50 1,854 1,853 100 Nebraska ...........: 165 175 106 10.75 11.00 1,774 1,925 109 North Carolina .....: 445 445 100 9.50 10.00 4,228 4,450 105 : Ohio ...............: 85 87 102 10.40 10.35 884 901 102 Oklahoma ...........: 185 190 103 9.95 10.20 1,841 1,938 105 Pennsylvania .......: 47 48 102 10.30 10.30 484 494 102 South Dakota .......: 82 84 102 10.75 10.85 882 911 103 Texas ..............: 38 47 124 8.55 8.40 325 395 122 Utah ...............: 40 37 93 10.10 6.70 404 248 61 : Other States 2/ ....: 202 197 97 9.90 9.59 2,004 1,885 94 : United States ......: 2,780 2,871 103 10.16 10.23 28,253 29,373 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing 1/ : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 head -- ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- : December .......: 921 939 9.60 10.24 8,846 9,619 January ........: 924 951 9.47 10.10 8,753 9,602 February .......: 918 939 9.51 10.16 8,727 9,537 March ..........: 953 9.59 9,139 April ..........: 922 9.78 9,025 May ............: 935 9.98 9,331 June ...........: 999 10.08 10,078 July ...........: 992 10.20 10,122 August .........: 1,000 10.20 10,202 September ......: 984 10.20 10,038 October ........: 953 10.26 9,778 November .......: 933 10.24 9,557 : Total ..........: 11,435 9.93 113,596 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 8,100 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of March 2015, data were collected from about 5,950 operations, 73 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face- to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1, 2015. Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 65.9 million head by more than 1.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.0 percent. Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate : square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------------- Item : : : : : : Years : : : : : :------------------------------- : : : Average :Smallest : Largest : Below latest : Above latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent --------- 1,000 -------- ----- number ----- : All hogs and pigs ............: 1.2 2.0 625 95 1,459 10 10 : Pig crop .....................: 2.1 3.6 469 0 1,190 10 10 : Expected farrowings : : Next quarter ...............: 2.6 4.6 60 0 167 10 10 : Following quarter ..........: 2.9 5.0 70 18 197 8 12 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected]. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ........... (202) 720-3570 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........... (202) 690-2424 Travis Averill - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ...... (202) 720-3040 Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter ...... (202) 720-3240 Doug Bounds - Hogs and Pigs .................. (202) 720-3106 Donnie Fike - Dairy Products ................. (202) 690-3236 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows .. (202) 720-3278 Evan Schulz - Sheep and Goats ................ (202) 720-6147 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. 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